Here's the deflation breakdown for August 2024 — in one chart

Published On Sep 12, 2024, 12:21 PM

In August 2024, consumer prices in the U.S. exhibited signs of deflation in specific categories such as cars, household appliances, and groceries, diverging from the overall trend of disinflation. Consumer Price Index (CPI) data indicates that while inflation is slowing, deflation is impacting core goods due to improved supply chains and adjustments in demand since the pandemic. Key areas where prices have decreased include furniture (down 5%), appliances (down 3%), and vehicles (down 1% for new and 10% for used). The deflation trend is attributed to a normalization of supply-demand dynamics disrupted during COVID-19, the strong U.S. dollar, and ongoing globalization.

Stock Forecasts

The observed deflation in physical goods suggests a reduction in consumer demand for these items and potentially lower profit margins for companies in these sectors. Investors may want to be cautious with companies heavily invested in durable goods and automotive sectors, anticipating continued price pressure.

Conversely, companies in the e-commerce space or those that import lower-cost goods could benefit from cheaper goods and a strong dollar, which could boost their margins. Investors might consider exposure to these sectors as a hedge against falling prices in traditional retail.

The overall economic signals imply a stabilization in mortgage and loan demand due to lower inflation pressures, potentially making mortgage lenders more attractive in a cooling market. Therefore, investing in financial services focused on real estate might offer moderate positivity.

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