Few think Trump's plans for tariffs or more oil drilling will work

Published On Sep 15, 2024, 10:30 AM

Former President Donald Trump is promoting oil drilling and tariffs as solutions to economic challenges, stating these will generate revenue to fund various plans, including lowering deficits and taxes. However, economists are skeptical about the feasibility and effectiveness of these proposals. Critics argue that his promised approaches may lead to higher consumer prices and may not generate the revenue he anticipates. Additionally, even amid current high oil production levels, experts doubt that drilling expansion will significantly lower energy costs. Overall, Trump's proposals do not align with economic predictions regarding their impact on prices and revenues.

Stock Forecasts

Given the skepticism surrounding Trump's economic strategies and the potential for tariffs to cause inflation, companies in sectors reliant on imports might face headwinds if he is reelected and implements his tariff plans. Small-cap companies or those heavily reliant on consumer spending may particularly be at risk. Therefore, investors should watch for potential negative effects on stocks in these sectors.

Oil and gas companies might benefit from Trump's push for more drilling, although increased production levels are already high under the current administration. If Trump succeeds in easing regulations, certain firms could see temporary gains. However, predicted lower energy prices could undercut profit margins in the long run, leading to mixed outcomes for these stocks. Thus, some energy sector stocks may show short-term positive movement but could be volatile.

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