China stimulus calls are growing louder — inside and outside the country

Published On Sep 22, 2024, 11:17 PM

Increasing calls for stimulus in China emerge as the country faces economic challenges, including a real estate slump and low consumer confidence, with some economists pushing for significant government bonds issuance for investments. Goldman Sachs predicts China may miss its GDP growth target of 5% this year, highlighting the need for demand-side easing measures. Current policies aimed at stabilizing the property market are seen as inadequate, necessitating more assertive intervention. As consumer demand remains cautious amidst worries over unfulfilled property purchases, economists stress the urgency for fiscal reform and substantial investment to stimulate growth.

Stock Forecasts

Given the increasing stimulus expectations and potential government intervention to boost economic confidence, companies tied to construction and consumer goods in China may see positive reactions in stock prices. The focus on real estate stabilization and consumer boost measures suggests potential upward momentum for relevant sectors.

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The finance minister said Beijing would sell bonds to supplement spending and help banks but did not detail how much.

Analyst projections for how much fiscal stimulus is needed range from around 2 trillion yuan ($283.1 billion) to more than 10 trillion yuan.

Chinese authorities have been cracking down on businesses from real estate to technology to finance.

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