What China's biggest stimulus since the pandemic means for US investors: Morning Brief

Published On Sep 25, 2024, 6:00 AM

China recently announced a significant economic stimulus package exceeding $325 billion, marking its most considerable effort to revitalize the economy since the pandemic. This stimulus focuses on monetary support to stabilize the struggling stock market and address a shaky property market. The measures include reducing reserve requirements for banks, offering mortgage relief, and launching a $71 billion stabilization fund for the stock market. While this buoyed the CSI 300 index and driven commodity prices higher, including significant jumps in silver and copper futures, the effectiveness of such measures remains uncertain given China's mixed history with similar stimulus efforts.

Stock Forecasts

With China's stimulus boosting commodity demand, sectors related to raw materials and e-commerce could benefit. Significant gains in silver and copper suggest a bullish outlook for commodities. Additionally, equities like Alibaba (BABA) and JD.com (JD) could see positive momentum as investor sentiment improves in response to the stimulus.

However, the history of past stimulus failing to produce long-lasting results raises concerns. Potential inflation volatility may affect consumer prices and corporate profits in the U.S., particularly in manufacturing reliant on raw materials.

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