World Braces for Bigger Trade Wars if Trump Wins

Published On Oct 3, 2024, 5:03 AM

As the U.S. presidential election approaches, businesses face uncertainty regarding future trade policies and tariffs. The whiskey industry, in particular, is bracing for a potential 50% tariff on American whiskey exports to Europe set to start in March unless a compromise is reached. Candidates have differing views: while Kamala Harris supports targeted tariffs potentially similar to Biden's more collaborative approach, Donald Trump leans towards aggressive tariff policies, proposing a 60% tariff on Chinese goods. This unpredictability complicates business planning, especially for industries reliant on long-term projections like whiskey production.

Stock Forecasts

Given the potential tariffs on whiskey exports, companies in the whiskey industry may face significant challenges ahead, particularly those with substantial sales in the European market. If Trump wins and implements aggressive tariffs, this could further impact whiskey sales and profits leading to negative market reaction.

If Kamala Harris wins and takes a more targeted approach to tariffs, it could provide stability and potentially positive market sentiment for industries like whiskey. Under her administration, the possibility of avoiding the 50% tariffs on whiskey exports could maintain or even boost sales leading to a positive market trajectory.

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