Last minute Trump promises — from more tariffs to less chip money — add final wrinkles to 2024 contest

Published On Nov 5, 2024, 8:26 AM

In the final days of the 2024 presidential campaign, Donald Trump has made several bold economic promises, including introducing new tariffs on Mexico and altering the Biden-era semiconductor support program. Trump has suggested imposing a 25-100% tariff on all goods from Mexico if certain border-related issues aren't resolved. He has also criticized the legislative efforts to support semiconductor investments, suggesting that the current strategies are inadequate. Both proposals are raising concerns among economists about potential inflation and economic disruption, particularly in sectors related to trade and technology. These developments could influence voters' decisions as the election approaches.

Stock Forecasts

The proposed tariffs on Mexico, particularly the possibility of a 100% tariff, could significantly raise costs for consumers and businesses that rely on Mexican goods. This could lead to inflationary pressures, especially impacting companies in the consumer goods sector. Investors in stocks that heavily import from Mexico or are sensitive to tariffs might want to prepare for potential stock declines. Furthermore, stricter tariffs could affect sectors like automotive, which imports many components from Mexico.

Trump's commentary on the semiconductor industry and the looming possibility of repealing or restructuring the Chips Act may negatively impact investor sentiment in the tech sector, particularly for companies deeply invested in semiconductor manufacturing and development. A lack of support for this legislation could hinder growth opportunities in the semiconductor sector and lead to reduced investments.

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