Trump win and threat of more tariffs raises expectations for more China stimulus

Published On Nov 6, 2024, 9:45 PM

Donald Trump's recent election win has raised tensions surrounding U.S.-China trade relations, particularly with potential new tariffs that could exceed 60% on Chinese goods. Analysts warn that such tariffs could severely impact China's economy, potentially cutting exports by $200 billion and causing a significant drag on GDP at a time when China is struggling with slow growth. China's government is expected to respond with a substantial fiscal stimulus package to stabilize its economy, projecting around 10 trillion yuan in new spending to maintain growth. U.S. stocks are soaring in anticipation of these dynamics while Chinese stocks have seen a decline in response to the looming tariff threat.

Stock Forecasts

The likelihood of Trump's proposed tariffs could weigh negatively on sectors tied to China, particularly those that depend on imports or export relationships with the country. However, increased Chinese stimulus may bolster sectors that are domestically focused within the U.S. economy.

As U.S. markets react positively to the election outcome and potential stimulus measures from China, sectors such as technology may benefit from elevated spending and investment despite the potential for tariffs.

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Stocks rallied as investors digested Donald Trump's victory in the US presidential election over Kamala Harris.

Trump has promised tariffs on all foreign goods. If he follows through, many smaller economies may be forced to respond in kind.

The three major indexes saw major gains on Wednesday.

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