Credit card debt surges to another record high, New York Fed data shows

Published On Nov 14, 2024, 5:25 AM

Recent data from the New York Federal Reserve reported that American credit card debt has reached a record high of $1.17 trillion, growing by $24 billion in just one quarter. Overall household debt also surged to $17.94 trillion. Although incomes have risen faster than debt on an aggregate level, researchers expressed concern about increasing delinquency rates, especially among younger demographics, despite a slight drop in overall credit card delinquency rates to 8.8%. Higher inflation and interest rates are contributing to these increased figures.

Stock Forecasts

The report indicates an increase in credit risk for lenders given the rising delinquency rates in credit cards and auto loans. Companies in the finance and credit sector may face headwinds due to higher default rates, which could impact profitability.

The tightening of consumer credit could lead to reduced spending in the economy, notably affecting sectors reliant on discretionary spending. Retail stocks may be negatively impacted by the prevalent financial strain on consumers.

Lenders specializing in high-yield loans or credit cards may see an initial uptick in revenue from higher interest rates but may ultimately face losses from defaulted loans. This situation could pose risks for companies focused heavily on personal financing.

Related News

Banks raised $23.5 billion by issuing investment-grade bonds on Tuesday, the biggest debt issuance by financial institutions in a single day since the beginning of 2016, as they anticipate potentially higher interest rates next year. The $23.5 billion in debt issued by financial institutions accounted for 78% of Tuesday's total $30.15 billion in high-grade bond sales, which was the fifth-largest day of overall issuance in 2024, according to a Wednesday report by BMO Capital Markets. "From yesterday's flood of issuance, it seems like banks are issuing bonds now to get ahead of what could happen next year with rates" under President-elect Donald Trump's administration, said Jack McIntyre, global fixed income portfolio manager at Brandywine Global.

The outlook for inflation is uncertain as economists warn of potential pressures from Trump policies.

Inflation has cooled notably, but a pickup in annual price increases underscores that it is not fully back to normal.

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