Inflation may not be tamed. How commodities can protect your portfolio

Published On Nov 19, 2024, 7:00 AM

The article discusses the potential for commodities to perform better in the near future, particularly if inflation rises under a Trump administration. While commodities have underperformed stocks, experts suggest that they can serve as a hedge against inflation and recommend a small allocation (around 5%) in investment portfolios. The article highlights the Bloomberg Commodity Index's struggles compared to the S&P 500, noting that many investors currently have minimal exposure to commodities. It also suggests that various commodity-focused ETFs and mutual funds could provide opportunities for investors, especially in light of recent price declines and potential economic shifts.

Stock Forecasts

The current economic climate and potential inflation may drive demand for gold and other commodities as safe-haven assets. Gold traditionally performs well during inflationary periods, and as the S&P 500 has seen significant gains lately, a shift to commodities for diversification may attract investor interest.

Copper is increasingly important due to its use in green technologies, and its prices are at a relatively low level right now. Should China pursue economic stimulation, demand for copper could rise, leading to price increases and potential profitability for copper-related investments.

Corn is trading near its production cost, suggesting limited downside risk. There is potential for price increases if adverse weather affects future harvests. Given the current low prices and market imbalance for wheat, this could be an opportune time to consider wheat-focused ETFs.

Silver is another commodity that could benefit from the push towards renewable energy, as it's an essential component in solar panels. Current prices are low, and with increased focus on sustainable technologies, silver could see a price rebound.

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