Trump threatens China, Mexico and Canada with new tariffs
Published On Nov 25, 2024, 8:09 PM
Donald Trump plans to impose new tariffs on Mexico, Canada, and China from the first day of his presidency, particularly a 25% tariff on goods from Mexico and Canada, and a 10% tariff on Chinese goods until they address fentanyl smuggling. These measures could escalate tensions with these countries and disrupt global supply chains. While Trump sees tariffs as a way to protect U.S. jobs and revenue, economists warn that the impact will ultimately affect U.S. consumers. The tariffs may also violate the USMCA trade agreement, raising uncertainty for investors.
Stock Forecasts
SPY
Negative
Given the announcement of new tariffs, companies with significant exposure to imports from Mexico, Canada, and China might experience increased costs, potentially leading to decreased profitability. Stocks in sectors like manufacturing, retail, and consumer goods may face negative pressure due to higher prices for goods. Additionally, while companies reliant on exports to Mexico and Canada might see trade disruptions, those in the commodity sector, particularly energy, might benefit from reduced competition as domestic suppliers take precedence.
XLI
Positive
Conversely, companies such as domestic manufacturing firms or local suppliers may benefit from the tariff situation as it could drive demand for locally produced goods, resulting in potential growth opportunities. Investors might consider looking into stocks associated with domestic production and manufacturing, which could outperform in a protective trade environment.
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