Americans are less confident about where the US economy is headed
Published On Dec 23, 2024, 11:28 AM
In December 2024, consumer confidence in the U.S. economy dropped significantly, with the Conference Board's index falling by 8.1 points to 104.7, below economists' expectations of 113.2. Expectations among consumers regarding jobs, business conditions, and income decreased notably, indicating a potential recession on the horizon. This decline in confidence is related to uncertainty around economic policy and expectations of tariff impacts under the new administration. A significant portion of consumers are now pessimistic about job availability and overall economic prospects for the coming months.
Stock Forecasts
XLY
Negative
Given the downturn in consumer confidence, it is likely to impact retail and consumer discretionary stocks negatively as lower confidence can lead to decreased consumer spending. Economically-sensitive sectors may see volatility.
XLP
Positive
As consumer confidence drops, we could see a shift towards more defensive investment strategies. Utilities and consumer staples may experience inflows, as they are typically viewed as safer investments during uncertain times.
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