The housing market should pick up this year, but the path looks choppy

Published On Jan 4, 2025, 12:10 PM

The article discusses the expected recovery of the housing market in 2025. While the year 2024 was one of the slowest for home sales, increased inventory and a potential easing of mortgage rates are anticipated. Despite these prospects, affordability challenges due to high home prices and mortgage rates remain prominent, limiting overall market activity. Professionals predict a slow recovery and a rise in existing home sales by about 1.5% in 2025, although this would still be below historical averages. Geographical disparities in price appreciation are also expected, with certain coastal markets seeing higher increases than others.

Stock Forecasts

XHB

Positive

With housing experts predicting a gradual recovery in the housing market aided by an increase in inventory and minor decreases in mortgage rates, investment opportunities may arise in real estate-focused ETFs. However, the overall affordability issues will likely limit significant market rebounds, making near-term investments cautious in nature.

LEN

Positive

Given the expectation of rising home prices and the challenges prospective buyers face, real estate companies focused on high-value areas (e.g., coastal markets) may benefit. Investment in stocks of these companies could yield positive returns as these markets recover more robustly than others.

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