What We’re Watching in 2025

Published On Jan 4, 2025, 8:00 AM

The DealBook team elaborates on anticipated trends for 2025, particularly under the incoming Trump administration. They foresee a surge in mergers and acquisitions, especially in energy and banking sectors, thanks to reduced regulatory scrutiny. The media industry is also expected to undergo significant changes, with potential deals involving major players like Comcast and Warner Bros. Discovery as they adapt to a cable decline and streaming growth. In contrast, Big Tech firms might still face intense regulatory scrutiny despite expectations of leniency under Trump.

Stock Forecasts

XLF

Positive

The anticipated surge in mergers and acquisitions, particularly in the energy sector and banking, signals potential growth and investment opportunities in these areas. Specifically, financial institutions might benefit from consolidation. Additionally, companies linked to the media sector could experience volatility as restructuring unfolds and new deals are possible.

DIS

Positive

In the media industry, companies that adapt well to the streaming landscape and efficiently manage legacy cable assets might gain market share and stabilize. This could cause fluctuations in stocks of companies like Comcast and Warner Bros. Discovery, presenting potential short-term opportunities for investors.

GOOGL

Negative

Despite a less aggressive stance expected from the Trump administration toward Big Tech, the continued scrutiny could signal ongoing volatility in technology stocks. Investors should be cautious with high-profile tech stocks that have faced regulatory challenges in the past, as market reactions may be mixed.

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