Bond 'tantrum' dawns as rout sends shockwaves through markets
Published On Jan 8, 2025, 9:54 AM
A significant selloff in government bond markets has caused turmoil in financial markets globally, following sharp increases in yields of U.S. Treasury bonds and other national bonds. Concerns are mounting over rising inflation, driven partly by anticipated policies from Donald Trump, including tax cuts and higher tariffs. Analysts predict yields could reach 5% as increased bond supply is set to hit the market. The S&P 500 has started to decline after a surge, indicating potential uncertainty ahead for equity markets.
Stock Forecasts
SPY
Negative
With rising yields, particularly in government bonds, investors may shift assets, leading to a sell-off in equities, notably in sectors sensitive to interest rates. The anticipated increase in borrowing costs could put pressure on companies' margins and consumer spending.
XLP
Positive
The increase in bond yields signals an expectation of higher interest rates in the future, which traditionally hurts growth stocks and sectors dependent on cheap capital. Investors may want to consider defensive stocks or sectors like utilities or consumer staples.
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