Fewer US interest rate cuts expected after job gains surprise

Published On Jan 10, 2025, 10:55 AM

The latest US job growth exceeded expectations, with 256,000 jobs added in December, lowering the unemployment rate from 4.2% to 4.1%. This performance indicates a stronger US economy, and while wage growth is steady, it does not trigger concerns over inflation. As a result, the Federal Reserve may delay further interest rate cuts, potentially resulting in sustained higher borrowing costs globally. Investors may need to adjust their strategies considering these economic indicators.

Stock Forecasts

XLF

Positive

Due to the stronger-than-expected job growth and potential for fewer interest rate cuts, companies sensitive to borrowing costs could face challenges. However, sectors benefiting from labor market strength, such as consumer discretionary, may see positive momentum. Nonetheless, as interest rates remain high for an extended period, opportunities in financial institutions might arise as they benefit from higher lending rates.

TLT

Negative

With global implications and higher borrowing costs potentially affecting many markets, consider keeping a cautious approach towards bonds, particularly UK gilts, which could become more stressed. This suggests a negative forecast for bond investments amid rising yields.

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