December CPI report expected to show sticky inflation as investors recalibrate rate cut bets
Published On Jan 14, 2025, 3:26 PM
The upcoming December Consumer Price Index (CPI) report is expected to reveal a slight rise in inflation to 2.9%, putting pressure on investors regarding Federal Reserve interest rate decisions. The core inflation rate, which excludes food and energy prices, is projected at 3.3%. Economists express concern that inflation remains above the Fed’s 2% target, complicating the possibility of future rate cuts, especially with the arrival of a new presidential administration and its potential policies that may further affect inflation. The market remains uncertain about the timing and extent of any rate cuts in 2025.
Stock Forecasts
XLF
Positive
Given the rising inflationary pressures outlined in the CPI report, the likelihood of the Federal Reserve needing to adopt a more hawkish stance increases. This could lead to lower attractiveness of high-growth stocks sensitive to interest rate increases, while sectors perceived as inflation-hedged like utilities or consumer staples may benefit from stability. Likewise, the financial sector could also perform well as higher interest rates often lead to higher profitability for banks.
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