Why DeepSeek has been so unsettling for the stock market in 3 charts

Published On Jan 28, 2025, 11:15 AM

The recent emergence of DeepSeek, a cheaper AI model from a Chinese firm, has raised concerns among investors about potential declines in earnings for American tech giants, particularly Nvidia and Broadcom. The market reaction has been negative, causing significant sell-offs in the S&P 500 and Nasdaq Composite, which rely heavily on the performance of these tech companies. Analysts suggest that a drop in earnings estimates could undermine the key pillars supporting this bull market, particularly as dominant players like Nvidia may face increased competition. As a result, there is a growing expectation that stock performance might become less tech-centric, leading to opportunities for stock picking beyond the largest companies in the index.

Stock Forecasts

NVDA

Negative

Given the concerns regarding the impact of DeepSeek on major tech earnings, particularly for Nvidia and Broadcom, it's likely we will see a continuing negative trend in their stock performance as investors reassess growth projections. This could also affect broader tech indices, which have relied on strong earnings from these large players.

SPY

Positive

As tech growth becomes more scrutinized, sectors outside of tech might start to catch more investor interest, suggesting potential positive direction for diversified sectors or ETFs that focus on broader market exposure, such as those targeting cyclical stocks or small caps.

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