S&P 500 gives up gain, Dow falls as White House says tariffs starting Saturday: Live updates

Published On Jan 30, 2025, 6:01 PM

Capital Economics believes that the threat posed by DeepSeek to the U.S. equity market's outperformance is exaggerated. They have observed a recent shift in sentiment towards a more positive tone in U.S. equity markets, indicating that the recovery from the prior week's losses is more pronounced than initially expected. UBS remains bullish on the AI sector despite the volatility triggered by DeepSeek's debut, citing solid earnings reports from major tech companies like Meta, Microsoft, and Apple. On the other hand, the Year of the Snake is observed as historically weak for the S&P 500, with tariffs announced by President Trump affecting auto stocks like Ford and GM. Additionally, equity risk premiums have hit decade-low levels as Barclays reports investors are receiving minimal extra returns for equity risk, indicating a shift in market dynamics. Notably, certain stocks are showing resilience, such as Atlassian and Vertex Pharmaceuticals, seeing gains amidst the overall market fluctuation.

Stock Forecasts

XLK

Positive

The sentiment in U.S. tech stocks remains supportive with positive earnings reports. Despite volatility triggered by DeepSeek, major tech companies have shown strong fundamentals. This bodes well for investments in technology-focused ETFs, as they are likely to attract more capital going forward, enhancing their performance.

F

Negative

The tariffs imposed by the U.S. government on major trading partners negatively impact automakers such as Ford and General Motors. As costs rise, this could lead to reduced margins and profit forecasts, making them less attractive to investors.

WBA

Negative

Despite the historical weakness associated with the Year of the Snake, the long-term sentiment in U.S. equities remains somewhat resilient. This creates a challenging environment for dividend stocks and slow-growth equities, evidenced by the decline in stocks like Walgreens which suspended its dividend.

VRTX

Positive

Vertex Pharmaceuticals has benefited significantly from FDA approvals, driving its stock up. This company appears well-positioned for further growth and investor interest, particularly as it introduces innovative pain relief solutions.

SPY

Negative

Barclays noted low equity risk premiums, which may pressurize stocks with low growth prospects and attract funds towards safer asset classes, indicating a potential for downturn in certain sectors of the equity market.

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