What's happening with Trump's tariffs on China, Canada and Mexico?

Published On Feb 4, 2025, 1:38 PM

President Donald Trump has imposed new tariffs on imports from China, Canada, and Mexico, citing a failure to control illegal substances and secure the borders. The tariffs on China include a 10% levy on various goods, effective February 4. In retaliation, China announced their own tariffs on U.S. products, including coal and agricultural equipment. Tariffs on Canadian and Mexican goods, initially set to take effect on February 4, have been delayed for one month following discussions about border security. This escalating trade conflict has raised concerns among voters and investors about potential negative impacts on the economy.

Stock Forecasts

GOOGL

Negative

Given the growing trade tensions and the negative feedback from voters regarding the tariffs, the economic outlook may become increasingly strained. Companies directly impacted by tariffs, particularly those in sectors like electronics, agriculture, and energy, could face profit pressures. The retaliation from China could also escalate, further harming trade relations and investor confidence. Therefore, a bearish outlook seems reasonable for companies like Alphabet and Illumina. As such, investors may want to consider short positions or cautious strategies around these stocks.

ILMN

Negative

Illumina, involved in biotechnology, faces risks from being added to China's 'unreliable entities list,' which may severely impact its operations and stock performance. The ongoing trade conflict poses significant uncertainties in its business model. Hence, a negative forecast is warranted here, making it crucial for investors to integrate risk management strategies.

PVH

Negative

PVH Corp, while not instantaneously linked to the tariffs, may still experience broader impacts from weakened consumer sentiment and higher import/export costs attributed to the trade tensions. Long-term growth could be hampered in a protracted tariff war, leading us to suggest a negative outlook on this stock as well.

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