Newman: Trump’s biggest economic vulnerability has emerged

Published On Feb 14, 2025, 8:01 AM

Donald Trump, now in his second presidential term, faces significant economic challenges due to rising interest rates, despite his calls for them to be lowered. High long-term interest rates, which affect consumer loans like mortgages, are seen by markets as a reaction to persistently high inflation expectations. Trump’s emphasis on tariffs may exacerbate inflation, and while the Federal Reserve controls short-term rates, long-term rates are determined by market conditions. Some analysts warn that continued conflict in trade could pressure Treasury rates higher, impacting borrowing costs across the economy, potentially leading to a credit crunch.

Stock Forecasts

XLF

Negative

With Trump's ongoing tariff policies likely to contribute to higher inflation and interest rates, the banking sector could face challenges if these rates lead to a decrease in lending. This may negatively impact banks' profits specifically due to potential government intervention on interest rates.

Related News

The terminations have sowed more confusion at the bureau, as several of those being laid off had already accepted federal buyout offers, said one of the people.

A hotter-than-expected inflation reading makes it much more likely that the Federal Reserve will keep rates on hold for the foreseeable future, reinforcing a cautionary stance from Jerome Powell and other central bank policymakers.

The Consumer Price Index rose 3.0 percent from a year earlier as food and energy prices picked up.