What are tariffs, why is Trump using them, and will prices rise?
Published On Feb 3, 2025, 8:46 AM
US President Donald Trump has announced he will double tariffs on Canadian steel and aluminum imports from 25% to 50%. This is part of a broader strategy where he has already imposed tariffs on other goods from Canada and Mexico, with China also facing a 20% levy. The tariffs have sparked fears of a global trade war, leading to retaliatory tariffs from Canada and China. The increased costs from tariffs could significantly raise prices for consumers in the US and globally. The tariffs may impact prices on goods particularly in the auto industry and could result in a complex supply chain upheaval between the US, Canada, and Mexico.
Stock Forecasts
XLB
Negative
The current trade tensions are likely to negatively impact sectors heavily reliant on raw materials, particularly steel and aluminum. US-based companies that utilize these materials in their production could face increased costs, leading to reduced profit margins or higher prices for consumers. Sectors like automotive manufacturing may see increased volatility, but tariffs on exempted goods might cushion the blow somewhat.
UPS
Negative
As the tariffs could lead to decreased international trade, companies involved in logistics and transportation might experience a downturn. Additionally, companies focused on international trade may also see disruptions to their supply chains, leading to potential stock difficulties. Investors in such sectors should be cautious in the current market landscape.
SLV
Positive
The tariff increases and subsequent supply chain disruptions and price hikes could drive investors towards basic materials and defensive stocks that are less sensitive to tariff fluctuations. Moreover, commodities that are domestically produced may see a rise in demand as import prices increase.
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