Hedge fund billionaire and Trump donor John Paulson says market would 'crash' under Harris tax plans

Published On Sep 13, 2024, 12:28 PM

John Paulson, a hedge fund billionaire and prominent Trump donor, has expressed concerns that the financial market would crash if Vice President Kamala Harris's proposed tax plans were implemented. These plans include raising the corporate tax rate from 21% to 28%, increasing the capital gains tax from 20% to 39%, and imposing a 25% tax on unrealized gains for households worth over $100 million. Paulson believes these changes would lead to a significant market downturn and potentially plunge the economy into a recession due to massive selling of assets. While some economists agree that higher corporate taxes could impact earnings negatively, none forecast the severe market crash that Paulson predicts. Paulson also contends that the tax policies proposed by the Biden-Harris administration could exacerbate economic issues, warning that the realization of these policies might directly lead to a recession.

Stock Forecasts

Given the potential for increased corporate taxes and capital gains taxes, there could be significant downward pressure on the stock market. Companies in the S&P 500 may see lower earnings, which could affect stock prices. Investors may want to consider shorting certain sectors that are highly reliant on capital gains or generally sensitive to tax policy, such as technology or financials.

Related News

Capitalist Pig hedge fund manager Jonathan Hoenig weighs in on market rallies, his concern for everyday Americans amid inflation, and his stock pick.

JPMorgan Chase & Co. chief Jamie Dimon on Friday sounded the alarm about "critical risks" to the U.S. economy in the bank's third quarter earnings report.

Slatestone Wealth Chief Market Strategist Kenny Polcari discusses the market rallying following the inflation report, Jamie Dimon's warning of geopolitical risks, and how he fared during Hurricane Milton.

SPY
TLT