Is the Fed 'sleepwalking into a policy mistake?': Abrdn analyst calls for faster easing of rates

Published On Sep 2, 2024, 4:37 AM

The article discusses insights from Kenneth Akintewe of Abrdn regarding the U.S. Federal Reserve's interest rate policy. Akintewe suggests that the Fed might be making a mistake by not easing rates soon due to potential signs of economic weakness that aren't fully reflected in current data. While the economy is expected to have a soft landing, concerns about a possible slowdown in 2025 persist. Current data indicates a smaller rise in the PCE price index, which is the Fed’s favored inflation measure, prompting speculation on a future rate cut. Akintewe emphasizes that if the economy is weaker than reported, the Fed may need to implement significant easing, which would take time to affect the economy.

Stock Forecasts

With the possibility of the Federal Reserve cutting rates by 25 basis points at its next meeting, this could stimulate growth in sectors sensitive to interest rates such as real estate and consumer discretionary. Companies that rely on cheap borrowing might see their stocks rise if rates decrease.

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