Nvidia leads tech bounce back from post-CPI sell-off

Published On Sep 11, 2024, 2:58 PM

On Wednesday, US stocks initially faced losses but rebounded to close higher. The S&P 500 increased by over 1%, driven by strong gains in the tech sector, particularly Nvidia, which surged more than 8%. Investors are reacting to August's inflation data, which showed a decrease in overall consumer prices but a larger-than-expected rise in core inflation without food and energy costs. This has influenced expectations regarding the Federal Reserve's upcoming interest rate decision, now leaning towards a smaller 25 basis point cut rather than a more aggressive 50 basis points. Meanwhile, GameStop shares dropped nearly 12% after reporting disappointing earnings and plans to issue new shares, while Trump Media stocks also fell after a heated presidential debate.

Stock Forecasts

Given the significant surge in Nvidia's stock following its CEO's positive outlook on AI and infrastructure spending during a recent conference, along with a broader tech sector rally, I anticipate a positive trend for NVDA as investor confidence grows in the tech industry despite inflationary pressures.

GameStop's disappointing earnings report and its decision to issue new shares signals potential financial instability. This may further diminish investor confidence, causing GME to decline in the near term as market reactions to these developments unfold.

Considering the overall market trend and the expectation of a smaller Fed rate cut, the financial sector may experience negative pressure, particularly as investors reposition their expectations. As interest rate-sensitive stocks often react poorly to such signals, I foresee a downward trend for financial sector ETFs like XLF as investors brace for tighter margins.

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