The Fed forecasts lowering rates by another half point before the year is out

Published On Sep 18, 2024, 2:25 PM

The Federal Reserve has indicated that it will likely lower interest rates by another half-point before the end of 2024, dropping the benchmark fed funds rate to a range between 4.25% and 4.5%. This decision is based on confidence that inflation is moving towards the target rate of 2%. The Fed has projected interest rates to fall further to around 3.4% by the end of 2025. Unemployment expectations have increased to 4.4%, while the inflation forecast has been slightly reduced to 2.3%.

Stock Forecasts

With the Fed's expected future rate cuts, we can anticipate a positive impact on sectors that benefit from lower interest rates, such as technology and consumer discretionary. Generally, lower rates tend to spur borrowing and investment, boosting stock prices in these sectors.

Conversely, financial institutions like banks, which profit from interest rate spreads, could face headwinds as rates decline. The net interest margin may compress, pressuring profitability.

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