The Jobs Report on Friday May Be a Fluke and a Political Football

Published On Oct 31, 2024, 2:27 PM

The upcoming October jobs report is expected to show a weak job creation figure of around 110,000, significantly lower than the previous months' average of 186,000. This decline is largely attributed to disruptions such as strikes at Boeing and the impacts of Hurricanes Helene and Milton, rather than a deterioration in employer hiring intentions. The unemployment rate has decreased to 4.1%, indicating stable economic conditions overall, as recent data suggests a moderate pace of job growth sufficient to accommodate those entering the workforce.

Stock Forecasts

Despite the anticipated lower job creation numbers, the broader economic indicators remain strong with a low unemployment rate and solid economic growth. This suggests stability in the labor market, which could lend support to investor confidence in related sectors.

Related News

Thursday's release is the final look at inflation before the Fed's next policy decision on Nov. 7.

SPY
XLK

Thursday's release is the final look at inflation before the Fed's next policy decision on Nov. 7.

CFRA Research chief investment strategist Sam Stovall suggested signs from history point to Trump likely defeating Harris in next Tuesday's election.