Wall Street is cutting Q3 earnings estimates — why that's 'not a cause for worry'

Published On Sep 10, 2024, 11:48 AM

Wall Street has reduced its Q3 earnings estimates by 2.8%, which is not as alarming as it seems. Analysts often cut estimates as the quarter progresses, with an average reduction of 3% over the last 20 years. This year's downward revisions could actually create a lower performance benchmark for companies during earnings season, potentially leading to better-than-expected results. The current forecast predicts 4.9% year-over-year earnings growth for Q3, with a positive outlook for continuing earnings growth into 2025, particularly outside of the tech sector.

Stock Forecasts

As companies may exceed these lowered earnings expectations, particularly in broader sectors, there is potential for a positive market reaction. This sets up a favorable environment leading into Q4.

With reduced earnings expectations, companies outside the top tech stocks are anticipated to perform better than in previous quarters. This could enhance market diversity and resilience going forward.

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