New inflation reading likely keeps the Fed on pause for now
Published On Jan 15, 2025, 11:13 AM
Recent inflation data suggests that the Federal Reserve will likely maintain its current interest rates in the upcoming policy meeting. The core Consumer Price Index (CPI) rose 0.2% month-over-month in December, down from 0.3% in November, indicating easing inflation. Annual price increases were reported at 3.2%, marking a decrease from previous months. Analysts expect that while the Fed will pause rate hikes, discussions about future rate changes may continue due to ongoing inflation concerns. There is a consensus among investors that the Fed will keep rates unchanged, having previously cut them by a significant margin late last year.
Stock Forecasts
XLF
Positive
With inflation showing signs of easing, the likelihood of immediate Fed rate cuts is reduced, which could positively impact sectors sensitive to interest rates, especially in real estate and utilities. However, uncertainty remains due to policy changes from the incoming administration, which could introduce volatility.
VFH
Neutral
Financial and banking stocks may benefit from stable interest rates as they can earn a better spread on loans. However, if inflation persists longer than expected, it could lead to pressure on interest margins.
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