Coffee is in a 'perfect price storm' — and it's finally starting to hit your wallet

Published On Feb 16, 2025, 11:12 AM

Coffee prices have surged over 30% year-to-date, largely due to adverse weather conditions in major coffee-producing countries like Brazil and Vietnam. As coffee prices rise, consumers are beginning to see the impact in their wallets, with average prices for roasted coffee increasing 2.5% and instant coffee spiking by 7.1%. Industry leaders are predicting that ongoing climate challenges and rising costs will lead to further price hikes in the coffee market in 2025, as they pass these costs onto consumers. However, some companies have locked in prices through prior purchasing agreements, softening immediate impacts on their pricing strategies.

Stock Forecasts

KDP

Positive

The upward trend in coffee prices is likely to continue due to ongoing climatic challenges affecting supply and conversely raising costs for producers. Companies in the coffee industry may see profit margins pressured unless they can offset costs through price increases, which could lead to volatility in the sector. Investors should be cautious due to these factors while considering companies reliant on coffee.

SBUX

Positive

Given its established hedging strategies and relative insulation from immediate price spikes, Starbucks may maintain its market position better than competitors who are more exposed to rising coffee costs. If these trends continue, the stock could benefit in the long term.

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