Is the US headed into a recession under Trump?

Published On Mar 11, 2025, 8:15 PM

Concerns about a potential recession in the US are rising, with analysts increasing their recession probability forecasts. Factors contributing to this risk include tariffs imposed by President Trump, which are raising costs for businesses, leading to decreased investments and hiring. The S&P 500 index has fallen significantly as a result of these concerns. Major financial institutions are assessing the recession risk as heightened, with the market reacting negatively to tariffs, economic policy uncertainties, and indicators of slowing growth.

Stock Forecasts

SPY

Negative

The imposition of tariffs is likely to squeeze corporate margins and dampen consumer confidence, leading to a reduction in spending. This could accelerate an economic downturn, especially if investor sentiment continues to worsen.

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