The stock market's sharp drop might have already priced in a 'shallow' recession

Published On Mar 12, 2025, 5:17 AM

The S&P 500 has dropped about 10% from its peak, leading many to speculate that this decline has already factored in a potential shallow recession. Despite the market's downturn, most economists do not predict an actual recession this year, suggesting that the current sell-off could present a buying opportunity for investors. Notably, experts recommend considering investment in the tech sector, which has seen a decline and thus lower valuations, as well as financial stocks, which have less exposure to tariffs. However, ongoing uncertainties around tariffs and economic policies complicate the outlook.

Stock Forecasts

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Positive

The recent decline in the S&P 500 indicates that a shallow recession might already be priced in, and if the predictions of avoiding a recession hold true, there might be a rebound. Tech stocks and financials could benefit from this situation since they have experienced significant sell-offs recently, making them attractive for investment as valuations may improve with a stable economic outlook.

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